What’s up, y’all? With Jack off to Dallas for something this weekend, he asked yours truly to handle this week’s gambling picks. The good news for you is that I do a weekly handicapping column for Blatant Homerism, where I have gotten murdered against the spread this year.
So fade away…
Texas at Oklahoma (-7.5) – I’ve already spilled so much ink about the Red River Shootout this week that I don’t know how much more I can say about it. I’ve already laid out my thoughts on the game’s keys, but one underplayed aspect of the matchup is that the Texas Longhorns haven’t turned the ball over in their last two games. An inefficient offense like that can’t afford to give the ball away when it’s trying to keep pace with the Oklahoma Sooners. Just one turnover could be enough to turn this into a comfortable victory for the good guys.
Pick: Take the points; under 61.
Iowa State at Oklahoma State (-10) – I realize all the analytics favor the Cowboys in this game, but I keep waiting for the bottom to fall out on OSU. From the outside looking in, it seems as though Mike Gundy is working through some issues in his locker room. The Pokes are pretty banged up, too. ISU is a live dog here, although I still think OSU scratches out a win.
Pick: Cyclones +10; under 54.5.
Kansas State at Baylor (-3.5) – It’s starting to feel as though the situation at KSU is heading towards an ugly ending. With the winnable games left on the schedule starting to dwindle, things won’t get any rosier around Manhattan if the Wildcats lose here. Unfortunately for Bill Snyder, Baylor looks like the better team, and I’m not sure if it’s close.
Pick: Baylor covers the 3.5; over 54.5.
Kentucky at Texas A&M (-5.5) – Two SEC rivals meet for the first time in history. In light of the Wildcats’ hot start to the year, the spread seems to be screaming for you to take the points. However, it gets dicey for UK if Benny Snell can’t get going on the ground, and stopping the run is the strength of A&M’s defense.
Pick: Lay the points; under 54.
Nebraska at Wisconsin (-17) – Ed Feng of The Power Rank did a podcast earlier this week focusing on some of the teams whose records obscure the actual quality of their play. The Cornhuskers are better than their 0-4 start, while Wisconsin is a little overrated, according to him. I like Ed, so let’s roll with it.
Pick: NU covers; over 54.5.
Syracuse (-3.5) at Pittsburgh – Huge hangover effect in play here for the Orange after losing last week’s squeaker at Clemson. A physical game like that takes a toll on a squad, and now the ‘Cuse have to go back on the road for an early start. It could be raining at kickoff. The Panthers stink, but they will have a chance to win outright.
Pick: Take the points; over 59.